Fortunately, fire dangers across the South Island have reduced significantly as a result of rainfalls this winter/spring. However, the rain hasn’t been as widespread or prolonged across the South like it was for the North Island.
Rainfall was below normal for central Otago and some eastern parts of the South Island (Marlborough, North and South Canterbury). As a result, soil moisture levels are drier than normal and will continue to dry out if there is a sustained period of little or no rainfall. Currently fire dangers remain slightly elevated in these areas
Don't understand the ENSO climate mechaism and how it affects NZ's weather patterns as we move from spring to summer and ENSO hasn't made its mind up yet...? Click on the ENSO grahic above for more...
How is our weather shaping up for the next 3 months, leading into the fire season...? Check out NIWA's 3 monthly forecasting and international guidance on the ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation climate mechanism here